Rômulo
CFBrazil · RB Leipzig
Player dossierBundesliga
Rômulo
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- RB Leipzig
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 193 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Rômulo at €30M. Model A, which never saw Rômulo during training, estimates €41.4M: the market value is 28% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.38. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €13.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 61
- Minutes
- 4,847
- Goals
- 22
- Assists
- 13
- Started
- 57/61
- Min / app
- 79
- Cards
- 9Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rômulo…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €30M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
93% this player59% attacker median98th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €2M
- Apr 2022
- Peak
- €30M
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €30M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 15
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €30M, RB Leipzig. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-06 | €2M | Club Athletico Paranaense |
| 2022-08-19 | €2M | Club Athletico Paranaense |
| 2022-11-14 | €2M | Club Athletico Paranaense |
| 2023-04-07 | €2M | Club Athletico Paranaense |
| 2023-07-25 | €1.7M | Club Athletico Paranaense |
| 2023-12-11 | €1.7M | Club Athletico Paranaense |
| 2024-03-26 | €2M | Göztepe |
| 2024-06-13 | €2.2M | Göztepe |
| 2024-10-04 | €2.6M | Göztepe |
| 2024-12-23 | €3.7M | Göztepe |
| 2025-03-20 | €7M | Göztepe |
| 2025-06-18 | €11M | Göztepe |
| 2025-10-14 | €22M | RB Leipzig |
| 2025-12-19 | €30M | RB Leipzig |
| 2026-05-27 | €30M | RB Leipzig |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.322
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 90% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 92% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Rômulo appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BurkardtCFEintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga€30M
- TillmanAMBayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga€30M
- AvdullahuDMTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga€30M
- LaimerRBBayern Munich · Bundesliga€32M
- BowenRWWest Ham United · attackers€30M
- Hudson-OdoiLWNottingham Forest · attackers€30M
- MatetaCFCrystal Palace · attackers€30M
- SuárezCFSporting CP · attackers€30M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).