Tom vanWeert

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club: Atromitos Athens
League: Super League
Nationality: Netherlands
Age: 35
Height: 183 cm
Foot: Right
Valued: 4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Weert at €125k. Model A, which never saw Weert during training, estimates €109k: the market value is 15% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €167k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 42
Minutes: 1,536
Goals: 4
Assists: 1
Started: 14/42
Min / app: 37
Cards: 1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Weert…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €125k

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.23 this player0.26 attacker median44th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €50k; Dec 2008
Peak: €1.3M; Jan 2017
Model target: €125k; Jun 2026
Valuations: 37; 7 club changes

Jun 2026€125kAtromitos AthensValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €125k, Atromitos Athens. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2008-12-08	€50k	Unknown
2009-06-14	€100k	FC Den Bosch
2011-01-05	€125k	FC Den Bosch
2012-01-01	€175k	FC Den Bosch
2012-08-02	€200k	FC Den Bosch
2013-06-04	€300k	FC Den Bosch
2014-02-10	€300k	FC Den Bosch
2014-08-11	€250k	SBV Excelsior
2015-02-10	€600k	SBV Excelsior
2015-07-01	€800k	SBV Excelsior
2015-11-11	€900k	SBV Excelsior
2016-02-05	€1M	SBV Excelsior
2016-07-15	€1M	FC Groningen
2017-01-18	€1.3M	FC Groningen
2017-06-07	€1M	FC Groningen
2018-01-17	€1.3M	FC Groningen
2018-06-12	€1.3M	FC Groningen
2018-12-21	€1M	Aalborg BK
2019-06-08	€1M	Aalborg BK
2019-09-09	€800k	Aalborg BK
2019-12-22	€700k	Aalborg BK
2020-04-08	€550k	Aalborg BK
2020-07-31	€500k	Aalborg BK
2020-12-23	€500k	Aalborg BK
2021-06-04	€500k	Aalborg BK
2021-11-01	€600k	Volos NFC
2022-06-09	€800k	Volos NFC
2022-11-07	€800k	AEK Athens
2023-05-22	€800k	AEK Athens
2023-09-21	€600k	AEK Athens
2023-12-20	€500k	AEK Athens
2024-03-06	€400k	AEK Athens
2024-05-30	€300k	AEK Athens
2024-12-18	€250k	Atromitos Athens
2025-05-23	€200k	Atromitos Athens
2025-12-12	€175k	Atromitos Athens
2026-06-04	€125k	Atromitos Athens

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: +0.137

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 3% of the 356 Super League players.

See them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 2% of the 1,583 attackers.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Weert appears

TerminalSuper League in the Player Explorer
TerminalSuper League on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).