FairValue

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Giannis

Pasas

LWGreece · AE Larisa

№ 130149Emerging €105k +0.17

Player dossierSuper League

GiannisPasas

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
AE Larisa
League
Super League
Nationality
Greece
Age
35
Height
184 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Pasas at €125k. Model A, which never saw Pasas during training, estimates €105k: the market value is 19% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.19. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €109k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.17A €105k▲ +0.14B €109k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
21
Minutes
832
Goals
4
Assists
1
Started
10/21
Min / app
40
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pasas…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €125k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €125kModel A €105k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Giannis Pasas's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 81st, Assists per 90 35th, Minutes, two years 14th, Starts 31st, Minutes, last 365 days 30th, European club minutes 28th81stGoals35thAssists14thMinutes31stStarts30thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.43 this player0.26 attacker median81st percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2009
Peak
€400k
Dec 2016
Model target
€125k
Jun 2026
Valuations
30
6 club changes
Jun 2026€125kAE LarisaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €125k, AE Larisa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2009-12-26€50kPanetolikos
2010-09-28€100kPanetolikos
2011-02-22€150kPanetolikos
2011-06-30€200kPanetolikos
2011-11-14€200kPanetolikos
2012-02-25€200kPanetolikos
2012-11-21€200kPanetolikos
2013-03-28€200kPanetolikos
2014-03-28€200kPanetolikos
2014-12-21€150kIraklis Thessaloniki
2015-06-07€200kIraklis Thessaloniki
2015-09-27€200kIraklis Thessaloniki
2016-02-21€300kIraklis Thessaloniki
2016-06-21€350kIraklis Thessaloniki
2016-12-21€400kIraklis Thessaloniki
2017-05-11€400kIraklis Thessaloniki
2018-04-26€350kAris Thessaloniki
2019-06-11€250kAOK Kerkyra
2021-06-28€300kVeria NPS
2021-12-28€300kVeria NPS
2022-06-27€400kVeria NPS
2023-02-27€350kKalamata FC
2023-06-19€350kKalamata FC
2023-12-28€300kKalamata FC
2024-05-23€250kKalamata FC
2024-09-24€200kAE Larisa
2024-12-27€200kAE Larisa
2025-05-16€200kAE Larisa
2025-12-12€175kAE Larisa
2026-06-04€125kAE Larisa

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.173

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 3% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€125kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 2% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€125kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Pasas appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).