FairValue

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Bogdan

Butko

RBUkraine · FC Oleksandriya

№ 94922Emerging €79k −0.46

Player dossierPremier Liha

BogdanButko

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
FC Oleksandriya
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
35
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Butko at €50k. Model A, which never saw Butko during training, estimates €79k: the market value is 37% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.58. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €238k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.46A €79k▼ −1.56B €238k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
36
Minutes
2,801
Goals
1
Assists
2
Started
33/36
Min / app
78
Cards
4Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Butko…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €50k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €50kModel A €79k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Bogdan Butko's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 50th, Assists per 90 65th, Minutes, two years 49th, Starts 75th, Minutes, last 365 days 18th, European club minutes 30th50thGoals65thAssists49thMinutes75thStarts18thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

92% this player83% defender median75th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2008
Peak
€3M
Nov 2012
Model target
€50k
Jun 2026
Valuations
38
12 club changes
Jun 2026€50kFC OleksandriyaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €50k, FC Oleksandriya. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2008-12-14€50kShakhtar Donetsk II
2009-08-06€150kShakhtar Donetsk II
2009-11-23€100kShakhtar Donetsk II
2010-08-28€400kVolyn Lutsk
2011-01-01€1MVolyn Lutsk
2011-06-16€1.5MVolyn Lutsk
2012-01-05€2MIllichivets Mariupol
2012-07-02€2.5MIllichivets Mariupol
2012-11-19€3MIllichivets Mariupol
2013-09-13€2.5MIllichivets Mariupol
2014-01-02€1.8MIllichivets Mariupol
2014-12-25€1.2MIllichivets Mariupol
2015-06-18€1.3MAmkar Perm
2016-01-06€1.8MAmkar Perm
2016-06-01€2MAmkar Perm
2016-07-21€2MShakhtar Donetsk
2017-01-03€2MShakhtar Donetsk
2017-06-26€1.8MShakhtar Donetsk
2018-01-12€2MShakhtar Donetsk
2018-08-06€2MShakhtar Donetsk
2018-12-10€2MShakhtar Donetsk
2019-06-20€2MShakhtar Donetsk
2020-01-08€1.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2020-04-08€1.2MLech Poznan
2020-09-04€1.2MShakhtar Donetsk
2021-01-15€900kShakhtar Donetsk
2021-03-16€750kBüyüksehir Belediye Erzurumspor
2021-05-21€675kBüyüksehir Belediye Erzurumspor
2021-10-28€500kWithout Club
2022-04-21€250kWithout Club
2022-12-06€300kZorya Lugansk
2023-06-21€500kZorya Lugansk
2023-12-11€300kZorya Lugansk
2024-06-06€200kZorya Lugansk
2024-12-17€150kChornomorets Odesa
2025-06-10€100kChornomorets Odesa
2025-10-21€50kWithout Club
2026-06-02€50kFC Oleksandriya

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.460

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

The joint lowest observed value among 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€50kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 0% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€50kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Butko appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).