FairValue

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Ángel

Ortiz

RBSpain · Real Betis Balompié

№ 933908Established €7.1M −0.58

Player dossierLaLiga

ÁngelOrtiz

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Real Betis Balompié
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
21
Height
167 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ortiz at €4M. Model A, which never saw Ortiz during training, estimates €7.1M: the market value is 44% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.78. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.58A €7.1M▲ +0.27B €3.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
28
Minutes
1,732
Goals
1
Assists
3
Started
19/28
Min / app
62
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ortiz…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4MModel A €7.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Ángel Ortiz's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 65th, Assists per 90 89th, Minutes, two years 28th, Starts 24th, Minutes, last 365 days 40th, European club minutes 93rd65thGoals89thAssists28thMinutes24thStarts40thRecent93rdEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

28% this player0% defender median93rd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2022
Peak
€4M
Dec 2025
Model target
€4M
Jun 2026
Valuations
13
1 club change
Jun 2026€4MReal Betis BalompiéValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €4M, Real Betis Balompié. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-09-26€50kBetis Deportivo Balompié
2022-12-29€50kBetis Deportivo Balompié
2023-06-30€50kBetis Deportivo Balompié
2023-12-20€50kBetis Deportivo Balompié
2024-03-26€100kBetis Deportivo Balompié
2024-06-24€200kBetis Deportivo Balompié
2024-10-14€300kBetis Deportivo Balompié
2024-12-18€300kBetis Deportivo Balompié
2025-03-21€2.5MReal Betis Balompié
2025-06-09€2.5MReal Betis Balompié
2025-10-02€3MReal Betis Balompié
2025-12-12€4MReal Betis Balompié
2026-06-05€4MReal Betis Balompié

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.578

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 50% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 65% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ortiz appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).