FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Portrait of Leny Yoro

Leny

Yoro

CBFrance · Manchester United

№ 923831World Class €35.3M +0.35

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

LenyYoro

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Manchester United
League
Premier League
Nationality
France
Age
20
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Yoro at €50M. Model A, which never saw Yoro during training, estimates €35.3M: the market value is 41% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.41. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €37.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.35A €35.3M▲ +0.29B €37.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
65
Minutes
3,793
Goals
1
Assists
3
Started
40/65
Min / app
58
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Yoro…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €50M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €50MModel A €35.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Leny Yoro's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 43rd, Assists per 90 68th, Minutes, two years 66th, Starts 17th, Minutes, last 365 days 55th, European club minutes 80th43rdGoals68thAssists66thMinutes17thStarts55thRecent80thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

17% this player0% defender median80th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
May 2022
Peak
€55M
Oct 2024
Model target
€50M
Jun 2026
Valuations
15
2 club changes
Jun 2026€50MManchester UnitedValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €50M, Manchester United. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-05-30€150kLOSC Lille B
2022-09-19€500kLOSC Lille
2022-11-02€2.5MLOSC Lille
2023-03-27€8MLOSC Lille
2023-06-27€10MLOSC Lille
2023-10-16€18MLOSC Lille
2023-12-18€25MLOSC Lille
2024-03-19€40MLOSC Lille
2024-06-03€50MLOSC Lille
2024-10-01€55MManchester United
2024-12-16€55MManchester United
2025-05-30€55MManchester United
2025-12-09€55MManchester United
2026-03-09€50MManchester United
2026-06-03€50MManchester United

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.347

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 88% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€50MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 98% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€50MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Yoro appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).