FairValue

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Portrait of Juan Cuadrado

Juan

Cuadrado

RMColombia · Pisa Sporting Club

№ 91970Emerging €425k +0.63

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

JuanCuadrado

RMRight MidfieldMidfield

Club
Pisa Sporting Club
League
Serie A
Nationality
Colombia
Age
38
Height
176 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Cuadrado at €800k. Model A, which never saw Cuadrado during training, estimates €425k: the market value is 88% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.88. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €381k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.63A €425k▲ +0.74B €381k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
53
Minutes
1,743
Goals
1
Assists
4
Started
12/53
Min / app
33
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cuadrado…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €425k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Juan Cuadrado's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 35th, Assists per 90 85th, Minutes, two years 30th, Starts 2nd, Minutes, last 365 days 15th, European club minutes 81st35thGoals85thAssists30thMinutes2ndStarts15thRecent81stEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.21 this player0.09 midfielder median85th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Aug 2009
Peak
€32M
Jul 2014
Model target
€800k
May 2026
Valuations
38
9 club changes
May 2026€800kPisa Sporting ClubValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €800k, Pisa Sporting Club. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2009-08-06€50kUdinese Calcio
2010-01-27€800kUdinese Calcio
2011-06-21€800kUdinese Calcio
2012-01-10€1.2MUS Lecce
2012-06-07€4MUS Lecce
2012-07-29€6MACF Fiorentina
2013-01-15€10MACF Fiorentina
2013-06-19€15MACF Fiorentina
2013-09-25€18MACF Fiorentina
2013-11-11€24MACF Fiorentina
2014-01-07€24MACF Fiorentina
2014-07-11€32MACF Fiorentina
2015-01-07€32MACF Fiorentina
2015-07-01€30MChelsea FC
2016-01-04€25MJuventus FC
2016-08-01€25MChelsea FC
2017-01-02€25MJuventus FC
2017-06-08€25MJuventus FC
2017-12-29€28MJuventus FC
2018-06-07€28MJuventus FC
2018-12-20€25MJuventus FC
2019-06-06€18MJuventus FC
2019-12-12€18MJuventus FC
2020-04-08€14.5MJuventus FC
2020-08-25€15MJuventus FC
2020-12-29€18MJuventus FC
2021-06-03€16MJuventus FC
2021-12-28€10MJuventus FC
2022-06-07€8MJuventus FC
2022-11-11€5MJuventus FC
2023-06-15€4MJuventus FC
2023-12-20€2MInter Milan
2024-03-12€1.5MInter Milan
2024-06-05€1MInter Milan
2024-12-18€1MAtalanta BC
2025-06-17€1MAtalanta BC
2025-12-23€1MPisa Sporting Club
2026-05-29€800kPisa Sporting Club

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.633

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 4% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 27% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Cuadrado appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).