Macaulay
Tait
CMScotland · Livingston FC
Player dossierPremiership
MacaulayTait
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Livingston FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- Scotland
- Age
- 20
- Height
- 170 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Tait at €500k. Model A, which never saw Tait during training, estimates €312k: the market value is 60% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.60. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 31
- Minutes
- 2,407
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 29/31
- Min / app
- 78
- Cards
- 7Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Tait…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
94% this player69% midfielder median91st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Sept 2023
- Peak
- €500k
- May 2026
- Model target
- €500k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 8
- 1 club change
May 2026: €500k, Livingston FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-22 | €50k | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2023-12-05 | €50k | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2024-03-20 | €100k | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2024-05-30 | €200k | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2024-12-03 | €200k | Heart of Midlothian FC |
| 2025-10-08 | €300k | Livingston FC |
| 2025-12-10 | €400k | Livingston FC |
| 2026-05-20 | €500k | Livingston FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.471
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 55% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 16% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Tait appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- TavernierRBRangers FC · Premiership€500k
- KingsleyLBHeart of Midlothian FC · Premiership€500k
- BråtveitGKAberdeen FC · Premiership€500k
- O'HaraDMSt. Mirren FC · Premiership€500k
- MilnerCMBrighton & Hove Albion · midfielders€500k
- MoutinhoCMSC Braga · midfielders€500k
- HöflerDMSC Freiburg · midfielders€500k
- StepanenkoDMKolos Kovalivka · midfielders€500k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).