FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Giorgi

Maisuradze

RBGeorgia · Polissya Zhytomyr

№ 888342Emerging €1M −0.56

Player dossierPremier Liha

GiorgiMaisuradze

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Polissya Zhytomyr
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Georgia
Age
24
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Maisuradze at €600k. Model A, which never saw Maisuradze during training, estimates €1M: the market value is 43% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.75. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €880k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.56A €1M▼ −0.38B €880k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
30
Minutes
1,879
Goals
1
Assists
3
Started
22/30
Min / app
63
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Maisuradze…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Giorgi Maisuradze's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 62nd, Assists per 90 87th, Minutes, two years 31st, Starts 32nd, Minutes, last 365 days 17th, European club minutes 64th62ndGoals87thAssists31stMinutes32ndStarts17thRecent64thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.14 this player0.04 defender median87th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€125k
May 2022
Peak
€600k
Jun 2025
Model target
€600k
Jun 2026
Valuations
11
1 club change
Jun 2026€600kPolissya ZhytomyrValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €600k, Polissya Zhytomyr. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-05-05€125kDinamo Tbilisi
2022-10-20€150kDinamo Tbilisi
2023-05-25€125kDinamo Tbilisi
2023-09-01€200kDinamo Tbilisi
2023-12-12€350kDinamo Tbilisi
2024-05-22€450kDinamo Tbilisi
2024-12-17€450kPolissya Zhytomyr
2025-03-21€500kPolissya Zhytomyr
2025-06-10€600kPolissya Zhytomyr
2025-12-18€500kPolissya Zhytomyr
2026-06-02€600kPolissya Zhytomyr

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.559

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 61% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 22% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Maisuradze appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).