Yáser
Asprilla
Player dossierSüper Lig
YáserAsprilla
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Galatasaray
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Colombia
- Age
- 22
- Height
- 176 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Asprilla at €14M. Model A, which never saw Asprilla during training, estimates €6.4M: the market value is 118% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 57
- Minutes
- 2,569
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 26/57
- Min / app
- 45
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Asprilla…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €14M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
9% this player0% attacker median70th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Feb 2021
- Peak
- €18M
- Oct 2024
- Model target
- €14M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 17
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €14M, Galatasaray. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-09 | €100k | Envigado FC |
| 2021-06-07 | €150k | Envigado FC |
| 2021-09-24 | €500k | Envigado FC |
| 2022-01-18 | €1M | Watford FC |
| 2022-06-17 | €1.5M | Envigado FC |
| 2022-09-14 | €2.5M | Watford FC |
| 2022-10-27 | €3M | Watford FC |
| 2023-06-01 | €4.5M | Watford FC |
| 2023-12-21 | €6M | Watford FC |
| 2024-03-07 | €8M | Watford FC |
| 2024-05-24 | €9M | Watford FC |
| 2024-10-11 | €18M | Girona FC |
| 2024-12-27 | €18M | Girona FC |
| 2025-06-09 | €15M | Girona FC |
| 2025-12-12 | €12M | Girona FC |
| 2026-03-05 | €14M | Galatasaray |
| 2026-05-21 | €14M | Galatasaray |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.780
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 94% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 81% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Asprilla appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SallaiRBGalatasaray · Süper Lig€14M
- ÇakırGKGalatasaray · Süper Lig€15M
- AsensioAMFenerbahce · Süper Lig€15M
- ÁlvarezDMFenerbahce · Süper Lig€15M
- BaileyRWAston Villa · attackers€14M
- PiccoliCFACF Fiorentina · attackers€14M
- CambiaghiLWBologna FC 1909 · attackers€14M
- ThomasLWStoke City · attackers€14M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).





