FairValue

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Yáser

Asprilla

RWColombia · Galatasaray

№ 857818Elite €6.4M +0.78

Player dossierSüper Lig

YáserAsprilla

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Galatasaray
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Colombia
Age
22
Height
176 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Asprilla at €14M. Model A, which never saw Asprilla during training, estimates €6.4M: the market value is 118% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.78A €6.4M▲ +1.31B €3.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
57
Minutes
2,569
Goals
4
Assists
2
Started
26/57
Min / app
45
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Asprilla…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €14M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €14MModel A €6.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Yáser Asprilla's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 21st, Assists per 90 21st, Minutes, two years 58th, Starts 28th, Minutes, last 365 days 38th, European club minutes 70th21stGoals21stAssists58thMinutes28thStarts38thRecent70thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

9% this player0% attacker median70th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Feb 2021
Peak
€18M
Oct 2024
Model target
€14M
May 2026
Valuations
17
5 club changes
May 2026€14MGalatasarayValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €14M, Galatasaray. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-02-09€100kEnvigado FC
2021-06-07€150kEnvigado FC
2021-09-24€500kEnvigado FC
2022-01-18€1MWatford FC
2022-06-17€1.5MEnvigado FC
2022-09-14€2.5MWatford FC
2022-10-27€3MWatford FC
2023-06-01€4.5MWatford FC
2023-12-21€6MWatford FC
2024-03-07€8MWatford FC
2024-05-24€9MWatford FC
2024-10-11€18MGirona FC
2024-12-27€18MGirona FC
2025-06-09€15MGirona FC
2025-12-12€12MGirona FC
2026-03-05€14MGalatasaray
2026-05-21€14MGalatasaray

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.780

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 94% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€14MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 81% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€14MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Asprilla appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).