FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Oumar

Diakité

CFCote d'Ivoire · Cercle Brugge

№ 847279Established €1.4M +1.25

Player dossierPro League

OumarDiakité

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Cercle Brugge
League
Pro League
Nationality
Cote d'Ivoire
Age
22
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Diakité at €5M. Model A, which never saw Diakité during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 248% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×3.48. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +1.25A €1.4M▲ +0.78B €2.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
51
Minutes
3,070
Goals
11
Assists
3
Started
35/51
Min / app
60
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Diakité…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €5MModel A €1.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Oumar Diakité's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 61st, Assists per 90 27th, Minutes, two years 67th, Starts 66th, Minutes, last 365 days 55th, European club minutes 28th61stGoals27thAssists67thMinutes66thStarts55thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

3,070 this player2,242 attacker median67th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€400k
Jan 2022
Peak
€9M
Dec 2024
Model target
€5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
13
2 club changes
Jun 2026€5MCercle BruggeValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €5M, Cercle Brugge. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-01-13€400kFC Liefering
2022-05-25€600kFC Liefering
2022-11-17€900kFC Liefering
2023-06-05€1.5MFC Liefering
2023-10-16€2.5MStade Reims
2023-12-18€4MStade Reims
2024-03-19€6MStade Reims
2024-06-03€6MStade Reims
2024-12-10€9MStade Reims
2025-03-24€7MStade Reims
2025-06-03€6MStade Reims
2025-12-10€5MCercle Brugge
2026-06-04€5MCercle Brugge

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+1.248

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 85% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 64% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Diakité appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).