Mihajlo
Ilić
CBSerbia · RSC Anderlecht
Player dossierPro League
MihajloIlić
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- RSC Anderlecht
- League
- Pro League
- Nationality
- Serbia
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 192 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Pro LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Ilić at €2M. Model A, which never saw Ilić during training, estimates €682k: the market value is 193% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.93. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €643k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 10
- Minutes
- 769
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 8/10
- Min / app
- 77
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ilić…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
80% this player83% defender median44th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Dec 2021
- Peak
- €4M
- Mar 2024
- Model target
- €2M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 13
- 4 club changes
Jun 2026: €2M, RSC Anderlecht. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-25 | €50k | FK Partizan Belgrade U19 |
| 2022-06-26 | €100k | FK Partizan Belgrade U19 |
| 2022-09-12 | €300k | FK Partizan Belgrade |
| 2022-11-18 | €300k | FK Partizan Belgrade |
| 2023-06-22 | €1M | FK Partizan Belgrade |
| 2023-09-25 | €1.8M | FK Partizan Belgrade |
| 2023-12-27 | €3M | FK Partizan Belgrade |
| 2024-03-12 | €4M | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2024-06-05 | €4M | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2024-12-27 | €3.5M | FK Partizan Belgrade |
| 2025-06-12 | €3.5M | FK Partizan Belgrade |
| 2025-12-10 | €2.5M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2026-06-04 | €2M | RSC Anderlecht |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.076
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Pro League350 players · median €1.8M
Valued above 50% of the 350 Pro League players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ilić appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- HazardAMRSC Anderlecht · Pro League€2M
- KayembeLBKRC Genk · Pro League€2M
- SchoofsCMUnion Saint-Gilloise · Pro League€2M
- AyensaCFStandard Liège · Pro League€2M
- HummelsCBAS Roma · defenders€2M
- GünterLBSC Freiburg · defenders€2M
- KohrCB1.FSV Mainz 05 · defenders€2M
- ToljanRBLevante UD · defenders€2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).