FairValue

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Novatus

Miroshi

DMTanzania · Göztepe

№ 833315Established €5.6M −0.11

Player dossierSüper Lig

NovatusMiroshi

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Göztepe
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Tanzania
Age
23
Height
185 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Miroshi at €5M. Model A, which never saw Miroshi during training, estimates €5.6M: the market value is 11% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.12. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.11A €5.6M▲ +0.01B €5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
55
Minutes
3,870
Goals
6
Assists
3
Started
41/55
Min / app
70
Cards
13Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Miroshi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €5MModel A €5.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Novatus Miroshi's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 69th, Assists per 90 39th, Minutes, two years 72nd, Starts 60th, Minutes, last 365 days 76th, European club minutes 30th69thGoals39thAssists72ndMinutes60thStarts76thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,391 this player1,541 midfielder median76th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Dec 2021
Peak
€5M
May 2026
Model target
€5M
May 2026
Valuations
14
3 club changes
May 2026€5MGöztepeValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €5M, Göztepe. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-12-31€150kBeitar Tel Aviv Bat Yam
2022-06-04€150kBeitar Tel Aviv Bat Yam
2022-09-07€450kZulte Waregem
2022-11-04€550kZulte Waregem
2023-06-09€700kZulte Waregem
2023-12-11€800kShakhtar Donetsk
2024-06-06€700kShakhtar Donetsk
2024-10-04€850kGöztepe
2024-12-23€850kGöztepe
2025-03-20€1MGöztepe
2025-06-18€1MGöztepe
2025-12-17€2MGöztepe
2026-03-05€3.5MGöztepe
2026-05-21€5MGöztepe

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.114

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 81% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 65% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Miroshi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).