FairValue

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Ivo

Pinto

RBPortugal · Fortuna Sittard

№ 82281Emerging €211k +0.17

Player dossierEredivisie

IvoPinto

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Fortuna Sittard
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Portugal
Age
36
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Pinto at €250k. Model A, which never saw Pinto during training, estimates €211k: the market value is 19% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.19. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €503k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.17A €211k▼ −0.70B €503k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
63
Minutes
4,877
Goals
0
Assists
8
Started
57/63
Min / app
77
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pinto…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €250kModel A €211k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Ivo Pinto's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 88th, Minutes, two years 82nd, Starts 70th, Minutes, last 365 days 68th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals88thAssists82ndMinutes70thStarts68thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.15 this player0.04 defender median88th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Feb 2010
Peak
€4M
Mar 2015
Model target
€250k
May 2026
Valuations
34
10 club changes
May 2026€250kFortuna SittardValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €250k, Fortuna Sittard. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2010-02-05€100kVitória Setúbal FC
2011-06-30€400kFC Porto
2012-02-02€1.1MUD Leiria
2012-08-21€1.6MCFR Cluj
2012-12-12€2.5MCFR Cluj
2013-06-05€2.5MCFR Cluj
2014-03-11€2.8MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2014-10-01€3.5MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2015-03-17€4MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2015-09-14€4MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2016-02-09€4MNorwich City
2016-09-01€4MNorwich City
2017-02-27€4MNorwich City
2017-09-18€3.5MNorwich City
2018-02-27€3.5MNorwich City
2018-09-24€3MNorwich City
2019-06-28€2MNorwich City
2019-09-16€2MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2019-12-27€1.5MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2020-04-08€1.2MFC Famalicão
2020-08-17€1.5MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2021-01-28€1.5MRio Ave FC
2021-05-21€1MRio Ave FC
2021-10-04€800kFortuna Sittard
2022-01-05€600kFortuna Sittard
2022-06-08€500kFortuna Sittard
2022-11-11€500kFortuna Sittard
2023-06-23€500kFortuna Sittard
2023-12-15€500kFortuna Sittard
2024-05-31€450kFortuna Sittard
2024-12-17€350kFortuna Sittard
2025-05-28€300kFortuna Sittard
2025-12-02€250kFortuna Sittard
2026-05-28€250kFortuna Sittard

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.170

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 5% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 7% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Pinto appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).