FairValue

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Paulo

Azzi

LMBrazil · AC Monza

№ 310527Emerging €844k −0.12

Player dossierSerie A

PauloAzzi

LMLeft MidfieldMidfield

Club
AC Monza
League
Serie A
Nationality
Brazil
Age
31
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
11 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Azzi at €750k. Model A, which never saw Azzi during training, estimates €844k: the market value is 11% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.13. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €523k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.12A €844k▲ +0.36B €523k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
25
Minutes
1,131
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
12/25
Min / app
45
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Azzi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €750k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €750kModel A €844k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Paulo Azzi's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 49th, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 17th, Starts 19th, Minutes, last 365 days 2nd, European club minutes 30th49thGoals8thAssists17thMinutes19thStarts2ndRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.08 this player0.08 midfielder median49th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Feb 2014
Peak
€1.6M
Jun 2023
Model target
€750k
Dec 2025
Valuations
24
14 club changes
Dec 2025€750kAC MonzaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €750k, AC Monza. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-02-06€50kAS Cittadella
2014-07-15€250kPaulista FC (SP)
2015-06-30€200kTombense Futebol Clube (MG)
2015-12-28€150kSpezia Calcio
2016-06-15€125kAC Pavia
2016-12-14€100kPordenone Calcio
2017-06-23€175kSiracusa Calcio
2017-12-20€175kAS Bisceglie 1913
2018-06-21€200kAS Bisceglie 1913
2018-12-13€225kFC Pro Vercelli 1892
2019-06-19€250kFC Pro Vercelli 1892
2019-12-16€200kFC Pro Vercelli 1892
2020-06-16€250kFC Pro Vercelli 1892
2021-06-21€250kCalcio Lecco 1912
2021-12-21€400kModena FC 2018
2022-06-21€600kModena FC 2018
2022-09-27€1MModena FC
2022-12-22€1MModena FC
2023-06-12€1.6MCagliari Calcio
2023-12-20€1.5MCagliari Calcio
2024-06-05€1MCagliari Calcio
2024-12-18€1MCagliari Calcio
2025-06-02€800kUS Cremonese
2025-12-11€750kAC Monza

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.118

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 4% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 26% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Azzi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).