MT
CBBrazil · CD Santa Clara
Player dossierLiga Portugal
MT
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- CD Santa Clara
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Liga PortugalReading the valuation
The market values MT at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw MT during training, estimates €1.6M: the market value is 118% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 52
- Minutes
- 4,010
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 44/52
- Min / app
- 77
- Cards
- 8Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for MT…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
9% this player0% defender median71st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €300k
- Aug 2021
- Peak
- €5M
- May 2025
- Model target
- €3.5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 13
- 1 club change
May 2026: €3.5M, CD Santa Clara. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-08-12 | €300k | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2021-12-03 | €450k | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2022-08-05 | €450k | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2022-11-01 | €450k | CD Santa Clara |
| 2023-06-16 | €450k | CD Santa Clara |
| 2023-12-14 | €325k | CD Santa Clara |
| 2024-06-20 | €450k | CD Santa Clara |
| 2024-10-08 | €700k | CD Santa Clara |
| 2024-12-19 | €2M | CD Santa Clara |
| 2025-03-31 | €3M | CD Santa Clara |
| 2025-05-30 | €5M | CD Santa Clara |
| 2025-12-18 | €4.5M | CD Santa Clara |
| 2026-05-28 | €3.5M | CD Santa Clara |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.780
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 71% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 63% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where MT appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- LincolnAMFC Alverca · Liga Portugal€3.5M
- SequeiraGKCasa Pia AC · Liga Portugal€3.5M
- LimaCBCD Santa Clara · Liga Portugal€3.5M
- SilvaSSSL Benfica · Liga Portugal€4M
- SpinazzolaLBSSC Napoli · defenders€3.5M
- DunkCBBrighton & Hove Albion · defenders€3.5M
- KempfCBComo 1907 · defenders€3.5M
- KlostermannCBRB Leipzig · defenders€3.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).