Bruma
LWPortugal · SL Benfica
Player dossierLiga Portugal
Bruma
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- SL Benfica
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Portugal
- Age
- 31
- Height
- 173 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Bruma at €3M. Model A, which never saw Bruma during training, estimates €3.1M: the market value is 2% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.03. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 44
- Minutes
- 2,798
- Goals
- 12
- Assists
- 10
- Started
- 31/44
- Min / app
- 64
- Cards
- 2Y 1R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bruma…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
32% this player0% attacker median96th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €1.7M
- Nov 2012
- Peak
- €12.5M
- Dec 2017
- Model target
- €3M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 34
- 11 club changes
May 2026: €3M, SL Benfica. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-10 | €1.7M | Sporting CP B |
| 2013-03-28 | €2.5M | Sporting CP |
| 2013-09-13 | €10M | Galatasaray |
| 2014-01-27 | €10M | Galatasaray |
| 2014-08-11 | €9M | Galatasaray |
| 2014-10-27 | €8M | Galatasaray |
| 2015-01-26 | €8M | Galatasaray |
| 2015-06-25 | €7.3M | Galatasaray |
| 2015-07-16 | €7M | Real Sociedad |
| 2016-02-22 | €7M | Real Sociedad |
| 2016-04-07 | €5M | Real Sociedad |
| 2016-07-15 | €5M | Galatasaray |
| 2017-01-10 | €8M | Galatasaray |
| 2017-06-09 | €11M | Galatasaray |
| 2017-12-28 | €12.5M | RB Leipzig |
| 2018-06-05 | €12.5M | RB Leipzig |
| 2018-12-18 | €12.5M | RB Leipzig |
| 2019-06-05 | €10M | RB Leipzig |
| 2019-12-18 | €10M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2020-03-12 | €8M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2020-04-08 | €6.5M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2020-10-12 | €7M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2021-02-12 | €5M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2022-01-05 | €5M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2022-06-08 | €6M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2022-10-27 | €3.6M | Fenerbahce |
| 2023-06-16 | €6M | SC Braga |
| 2023-09-29 | €6.5M | SC Braga |
| 2023-12-27 | €6.5M | SC Braga |
| 2024-06-06 | €7M | SC Braga |
| 2024-12-19 | €8M | SC Braga |
| 2025-05-30 | €7M | SL Benfica |
| 2025-12-18 | €5M | SL Benfica |
| 2026-05-28 | €3M | SL Benfica |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.025
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 67% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 52% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Bruma appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SantosLBSporting CP · Liga Portugal€3M
- FerreiraDMCD Santa Clara · Liga Portugal€3M
- SánchezRBGD Estoril Praia · Liga Portugal€3M
- VrousaiRBRio Ave FC · Liga Portugal€3M
- WelbeckCFBrighton & Hove Albion · attackers€3M
- SterlingRWFeyenoord Rotterdam · attackers€3M
- SilvaCFElche CF · attackers€3M
- JiménezCFFulham FC · attackers€3M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).