FairValue

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Adamo

Nagalo

CBBurkina Faso · Konyaspor

№ 800976Established €816k +1.23

Player dossierSüper Lig

AdamoNagalo

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Konyaspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Burkina Faso
Age
23
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Nagalo at €2.8M. Model A, which never saw Nagalo during training, estimates €816k: the market value is 243% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×3.43. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +1.23A €816k▲ +0.28B €2.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
21
Minutes
924
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
8/21
Min / app
44
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Nagalo…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.8MModel A €816k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Adamo Nagalo's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 10th, Starts 2nd, Minutes, last 365 days 15th, European club minutes 79th18thGoals17thAssists10thMinutes2ndStarts15thRecent79thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

16% this player0% defender median79th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€400k
Jun 2021
Peak
€7M
Jun 2024
Model target
€2.8M
May 2026
Valuations
14
3 club changes
May 2026€2.8MKonyasporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.8M, Konyaspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-06-04€400kFC Nordsjaelland U19
2021-10-06€800kFC Nordsjaelland
2021-12-28€700kFC Nordsjaelland
2022-06-20€1MFC Nordsjaelland
2022-12-22€1.5MFC Nordsjaelland
2023-06-26€5MFC Nordsjaelland
2023-12-21€6MFC Nordsjaelland
2024-06-10€7MFC Nordsjaelland
2024-12-17€7MPSV Eindhoven
2025-05-28€6MPSV Eindhoven
2025-10-02€4MPSV Eindhoven
2025-12-02€3MPSV Eindhoven
2026-03-05€2.5MKonyaspor
2026-05-21€2.8MKonyaspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+1.233

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 72% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€2.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 58% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Nagalo appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).