FairValue

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Brandon

Mechele

CBBelgium · Club Brugge KV

№ 236168Established €3.7M −0.28

Player dossierPro League

BrandonMechele

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Club Brugge KV
League
Pro League
Nationality
Belgium
Age
33
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Mechele at €2.8M. Model A, which never saw Mechele during training, estimates €3.7M: the market value is 24% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.32. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.28A €3.7M▼ −0.63B €5.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
97
Minutes
8,653
Goals
10
Assists
5
Started
97/97
Min / app
89
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mechele…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.8MModel A €3.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Brandon Mechele's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 88th, Assists per 90 58th, Minutes, two years 100th, Starts 97th, Minutes, last 365 days 100th, European club minutes 92nd88thGoals58thAssists100thMinutes97thStarts100thRecent92ndEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

8,653 this player2,860 defender median100th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Aug 2013
Peak
€7M
Mar 2021
Model target
€2.8M
Jun 2026
Valuations
36
2 club changes
Jun 2026€2.8MClub Brugge KVValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2.8M, Club Brugge KV. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-08-12€500kClub Brugge KV
2013-10-08€1.5MClub Brugge KV
2014-02-10€2.5MClub Brugge KV
2014-06-28€2.5MClub Brugge KV
2015-01-07€3MClub Brugge KV
2015-06-24€4.5MClub Brugge KV
2016-02-07€3.5MClub Brugge KV
2016-07-15€2.2MClub Brugge KV
2016-10-20€1.5MClub Brugge KV
2017-01-21€1.2MSint-Truidense VV
2017-06-06€1.2MSint-Truidense VV
2018-01-09€2.2MClub Brugge KV
2018-03-30€3MClub Brugge KV
2018-06-03€4.5MClub Brugge KV
2018-12-27€6MClub Brugge KV
2019-06-10€6MClub Brugge KV
2019-12-13€6MClub Brugge KV
2020-04-08€4.8MClub Brugge KV
2020-10-16€5.5MClub Brugge KV
2021-03-17€7MClub Brugge KV
2021-06-07€7MClub Brugge KV
2021-10-06€6MClub Brugge KV
2022-01-06€5.5MClub Brugge KV
2022-04-12€5.5MClub Brugge KV
2022-05-26€6MClub Brugge KV
2022-11-04€6.5MClub Brugge KV
2023-03-22€5MClub Brugge KV
2023-06-09€4.5MClub Brugge KV
2023-12-19€4MClub Brugge KV
2024-03-22€3MClub Brugge KV
2024-06-04€3MClub Brugge KV
2024-12-11€3MClub Brugge KV
2025-03-26€3.5MClub Brugge KV
2025-06-12€3.5MClub Brugge KV
2025-12-10€3MClub Brugge KV
2026-06-04€2.8MClub Brugge KV

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.275

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 67% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 58% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Mechele appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).