FairValue

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Stav

Lemkin

CBIsrael · FC Twente Enschede

№ 761326Established €3.7M +0.49

Player dossierEredivisie

StavLemkin

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
FC Twente Enschede
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Israel
Age
23
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Lemkin at €6M. Model A, which never saw Lemkin during training, estimates €3.7M: the market value is 63% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.63. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.49A €3.7M▲ +1.25B €1.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
29
Minutes
2,430
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
27/29
Min / app
84
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lemkin…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €6MModel A €3.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Stav Lemkin's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 48th, Minutes, two years 42nd, Starts 79th, Minutes, last 365 days 74th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals48thAssists42ndMinutes79thStarts74thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

93% this player83% defender median79th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€350k
Jun 2022
Peak
€6M
May 2026
Model target
€6M
May 2026
Valuations
12
3 club changes
May 2026€6MFC Twente EnschedeValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €6M, FC Twente Enschede. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-06-04€350kHapoel Tel Aviv
2022-12-20€500kHapoel Tel Aviv
2023-05-29€500kHapoel Tel Aviv
2023-07-12€700kHapoel Tel Aviv
2023-09-14€1MShakhtar Donetsk
2023-12-11€1MShakhtar Donetsk
2024-06-06€1MShakhtar Donetsk
2024-12-30€900kMaccabi Tel Aviv
2025-06-13€1.2MMaccabi Tel Aviv
2025-12-02€1MFC Twente Enschede
2026-03-11€3MFC Twente Enschede
2026-05-28€6MFC Twente Enschede

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.491

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 84% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 73% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Lemkin appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).