FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Mads

Freundlich

CMDenmark · Silkeborg IF

№ 750798Emerging €1.8M −0.21

Player dossierSuperliga

MadsFreundlich

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Silkeborg IF
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
23
Height
177 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Freundlich at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Freundlich during training, estimates €1.8M: the market value is 19% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.23. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.21A €1.8M▼ −0.89B €3.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
54
Minutes
3,379
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
42/54
Min / app
63
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Freundlich…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €1.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Mads Freundlich's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 23rd, Assists per 90 19th, Minutes, two years 63rd, Starts 66th, Minutes, last 365 days 52nd, European club minutes 69th23rdGoals19thAssists63rdMinutes66thStarts52ndRecent69thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

8% this player0% midfielder median69th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Dec 2020
Peak
€1.5M
Dec 2025
Model target
€1.5M
May 2026
Valuations
13
1 club change
May 2026€1.5MSilkeborg IFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.5M, Silkeborg IF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-12-23€25kHobro IK
2021-06-04€50kHobro IK
2021-12-28€50kHobro IK
2022-06-20€50kHobro IK
2022-09-13€150kHobro IK
2022-12-22€150kHobro IK
2023-06-26€250kHobro IK
2023-12-21€350kHobro IK
2024-06-18€400kHobro IK
2024-12-09€800kSilkeborg IF
2025-06-16€1MSilkeborg IF
2025-12-15€1.5MSilkeborg IF
2026-05-25€1.5MSilkeborg IF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.209

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 64% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 39% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Freundlich appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).