FairValue

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Amin

Sarr

CFSweden · Hellas Verona

№ 748382Established €2.3M +0.05

Player dossierSerie A

AminSarr

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Hellas Verona
League
Serie A
Nationality
Sweden
Age
25
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sarr at €2.4M. Model A, which never saw Sarr during training, estimates €2.3M: the market value is 5% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.05. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.05A €2.3M▼ −0.38B €3.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
68
Minutes
3,114
Goals
4
Assists
2
Started
35/68
Min / app
46
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sarr…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.4MModel A €2.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Amin Sarr's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 17th, Assists per 90 18th, Minutes, two years 68th, Starts 37th, Minutes, last 365 days 46th, European club minutes 28th17thGoals18thAssists68thMinutes37thStarts46thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

3,114 this player2,242 attacker median68th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Dec 2020
Peak
€9M
Mar 2023
Model target
€2.4M
May 2026
Valuations
16
6 club changes
May 2026€2.4MHellas VeronaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.4M, Hellas Verona. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-12-10€500kMalmö FF
2021-06-09€450kMalmö FF
2021-09-17€500kMjällby AIF
2021-12-17€800kMalmö FF
2022-06-08€2MSC Heerenveen
2022-09-14€3MSC Heerenveen
2022-11-11€3.5MSC Heerenveen
2023-03-27€9MOlympique Lyon
2023-06-27€8MOlympique Lyon
2023-12-14€4MVfL Wolfsburg
2024-05-29€4MVfL Wolfsburg
2024-12-18€4MHellas Verona
2025-06-17€5MHellas Verona
2025-10-07€3.8MHellas Verona
2025-12-23€3MHellas Verona
2026-05-29€2.4MHellas Verona

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.051

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 24% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2.4MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 48% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€2.4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sarr appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).