Michele
Collocolo
CMItaly · US Cremonese
Player dossierSerie A
MicheleCollocolo
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- US Cremonese
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Italy
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 188 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Collocolo at €2.4M. Model A, which never saw Collocolo during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 70% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.70. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 9
- Minutes
- 453
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 6/9
- Min / app
- 50
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Collocolo…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.4M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
67% this player69% midfielder median45th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jul 2016
- Peak
- €3.2M
- Jun 2023
- Model target
- €2.4M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 23
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €2.4M, US Cremonese. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-07-01 | €50k | Cosenza Berretti |
| 2016-12-16 | €50k | Cosenza Berretti |
| 2017-06-23 | €50k | Cosenza Berretti |
| 2017-12-20 | €50k | Cosenza Berretti |
| 2018-06-21 | €50k | Cosenza Berretti |
| 2019-02-06 | €75k | FC Francavilla 1931 |
| 2019-06-28 | €75k | FC Francavilla 1931 |
| 2019-12-20 | €75k | Rende Calcio 1968 |
| 2020-07-24 | €100k | Rende Calcio 1968 |
| 2021-01-12 | €150k | Cesena FC |
| 2021-06-22 | €200k | Cesena FC |
| 2021-12-29 | €500k | Ascoli Calcio |
| 2022-06-06 | €900k | Ascoli Calcio |
| 2022-12-22 | €1.4M | Ascoli Calcio |
| 2023-03-20 | €2.5M | Ascoli Calcio |
| 2023-06-12 | €3.2M | Ascoli Calcio |
| 2023-10-11 | €2.8M | US Cremonese |
| 2023-12-27 | €2.5M | US Cremonese |
| 2024-06-03 | €2.5M | US Cremonese |
| 2024-12-23 | €2.5M | US Cremonese |
| 2025-06-02 | €3M | US Cremonese |
| 2025-12-23 | €3M | US Cremonese |
| 2026-05-29 | €2.4M | US Cremonese |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.532
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 24% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Collocolo appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ShaarawyLWAS Roma · Serie A€2.4M
- SarrCFHellas Verona · Serie A€2.4M
- ZapataCFTorino FC · Serie A€2.5M
- LazaroRMTorino FC · Serie A€2.5M
- MorlanesCMRCD Mallorca · midfielders€2.4M
- MatsukiAMSouthampton FC · midfielders€2.4M
- EriksenAMVfL Wolfsburg · midfielders€2.5M
- GroßCMBrighton & Hove Albion · midfielders€2.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).