FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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  • TerminalMarket LandscapeHow observed value is distributed, and where the model drifts.

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Jhon

Solís

CMColombia · Girona FC

№ 742521Established €4.3M −0.54

Player dossierLaLiga

JhonSolís

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Girona FC
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Colombia
Age
21
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
12 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Solís at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Solís during training, estimates €4.3M: the market value is 41% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.71. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.54A €4.3M▼ −0.93B €6.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
55
Minutes
1,710
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
13/55
Min / app
31
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Solís…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €4.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Jhon Solís's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 35th, Assists per 90 30th, Minutes, two years 30th, Starts 3rd, Minutes, last 365 days 22nd, European club minutes 66th35thGoals30thAssists30thMinutes3rdStarts22ndRecent66thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

6% this player0% midfielder median66th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Dec 2022
Peak
€4M
Oct 2024
Model target
€2.5M
Dec 2025
Valuations
10
1 club change
Dec 2025€2.5MGirona FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €2.5M, Girona FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-12-12€250kAtlético Nacional
2023-04-12€550kAtlético Nacional
2023-07-07€700kAtlético Nacional
2023-10-13€3MGirona FC
2023-12-22€3MGirona FC
2024-06-07€3MGirona FC
2024-10-11€4MGirona FC
2024-12-27€3.5MGirona FC
2025-06-09€2.5MGirona FC
2025-12-12€2.5MGirona FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.536

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 34% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Solís appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).