FairValue

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Portrait of Loïc Badé

Loïc

Badé

CBFrance · Bayer 04 Leverkusen

№ 730581Elite €11.5M +0.55

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierBundesliga

LoïcBadé

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
France
Age
26
Height
191 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Badé at €20M. Model A, which never saw Badé during training, estimates €11.5M: the market value is 74% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.74. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.55A €11.5M▲ +1.77B €3.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
67
Minutes
5,159
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
59/67
Min / app
77
Cards
13Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Badé…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €20M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €20MModel A €11.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Loïc Badé's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 38th, Assists per 90 36th, Minutes, two years 86th, Starts 64th, Minutes, last 365 days 73rd, European club minutes 74th38thGoals36thAssists86thMinutes64thStarts73rdRecent74thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,159 this player2,860 defender median86th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Aug 2020
Peak
€30M
Mar 2025
Model target
€20M
May 2026
Valuations
21
4 club changes
May 2026€20MBayer 04 LeverkusenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €20M, Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-08-14€500kRC Lens
2020-10-15€3MRC Lens
2021-01-07€6MRC Lens
2021-04-09€12MRC Lens
2021-06-04€12MRC Lens
2021-10-08€17MStade Rennais FC
2021-12-16€16MStade Rennais FC
2022-03-23€14MStade Rennais FC
2022-05-30€12MStade Rennais FC
2022-11-03€10MNottingham Forest
2023-06-13€12MSevilla FC
2023-12-22€10MSevilla FC
2024-03-21€14MSevilla FC
2024-06-07€14MSevilla FC
2024-10-11€20MSevilla FC
2024-12-27€25MSevilla FC
2025-03-21€30MSevilla FC
2025-06-09€25MSevilla FC
2025-12-19€28MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2026-03-20€25MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2026-05-27€20MBayer 04 Leverkusen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.554

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 82% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 91% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Badé appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).