FairValue

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Portrait of Joachim Andersen

Joachim

Andersen

CBDenmark · Fulham FC

№ 260827Elite €10.7M +0.62

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

JoachimAndersen

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Fulham FC
League
Premier League
Nationality
Denmark
Age
30
Height
192 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Andersen at €20M. Model A, which never saw Andersen during training, estimates €10.7M: the market value is 86% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.86. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.62A €10.7M▲ +2.44B €1.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
69
Minutes
6,097
Goals
1
Assists
2
Started
69/69
Min / app
88
Cards
15Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Andersen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €20M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €20MModel A €10.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Joachim Andersen's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 37th, Assists per 90 44th, Minutes, two years 93rd, Starts 97th, Minutes, last 365 days 90th, European club minutes 30th37thGoals44thAssists93rdMinutes97thStarts90thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player83% defender median97th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Feb 2014
Peak
€35M
Dec 2023
Model target
€20M
Jun 2026
Valuations
32
6 club changes
Jun 2026€20MFulham FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €20M, Fulham FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-02-10€150kFC Twente Enschede U21
2014-08-11€200kFC Twente Enschede
2015-02-16€200kFC Twente Enschede
2015-07-01€500kFC Twente Enschede
2016-02-05€700kFC Twente Enschede
2016-04-08€1MFC Twente Enschede
2016-07-15€1MFC Twente Enschede
2017-01-18€900kFC Twente Enschede
2017-06-07€1.5MFC Twente Enschede
2017-12-29€1.5MUC Sampdoria
2018-06-07€1.5MUC Sampdoria
2018-10-12€8MUC Sampdoria
2018-12-20€15MUC Sampdoria
2019-03-01€20MUC Sampdoria
2019-06-06€25MUC Sampdoria
2019-12-19€24MOlympique Lyon
2020-03-13€20MOlympique Lyon
2020-04-08€16MOlympique Lyon
2020-10-13€13MFulham FC
2021-03-18€15MFulham FC
2021-05-26€22MFulham FC
2021-12-23€22MCrystal Palace
2022-06-15€25MCrystal Palace
2022-09-15€28MCrystal Palace
2022-11-03€32MCrystal Palace
2023-06-20€30MCrystal Palace
2023-12-19€35MCrystal Palace
2024-05-27€35MCrystal Palace
2024-12-16€32MFulham FC
2025-05-30€27MFulham FC
2025-12-09€25MFulham FC
2026-06-03€20MFulham FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.623

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 54% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 91% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Andersen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).