FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Jaden

Slory

RWNetherlands · Go Ahead Eagles

№ 727480Emerging €842k −0.18

Player dossierEredivisie

JadenSlory

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Go Ahead Eagles
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
21
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Slory at €700k. Model A, which never saw Slory during training, estimates €842k: the market value is 17% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.20. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.18A €842k▼ −0.59B €1.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
22
Minutes
1,027
Goals
0
Assists
2
Started
11/22
Min / app
47
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Slory…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €842k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Jaden Slory's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 3rd, Assists per 90 61st, Minutes, two years 20th, Starts 35th, Minutes, last 365 days 39th, European club minutes 28th3rdGoals61stAssists20thMinutes35thStarts39thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.18 this player0.15 attacker median61st percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Sept 2024
Peak
€1M
Jun 2025
Model target
€700k
May 2026
Valuations
6
2 club changes
May 2026€700kGo Ahead EaglesValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €700k, Go Ahead Eagles. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2024-09-05€500kFC Dordrecht
2024-12-10€600kFC Dordrecht
2025-03-14€800kFC Dordrecht
2025-06-09€1MFC Dordrecht
2025-12-02€800kFeyenoord Rotterdam
2026-05-28€700kGo Ahead Eagles

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.185

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 34% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 22% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Slory appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).