FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Srdjan

Kuzmic

LBSlovenia · Viborg FF

№ 722375Established €2.1M −0.05

Player dossierSuperliga

SrdjanKuzmic

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Viborg FF
League
Superliga
Nationality
Slovenia
Age
22
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kuzmic at €2M. Model A, which never saw Kuzmic during training, estimates €2.1M: the market value is 5% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.05. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.05A €2.1M▲ +0.23B €1.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
38
Minutes
2,663
Goals
4
Assists
3
Started
28/38
Min / app
70
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kuzmic…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €2.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Srdjan Kuzmic's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 94th, Assists per 90 77th, Minutes, two years 46th, Starts 32nd, Minutes, last 365 days 50th, European club minutes 30th94thGoals77thAssists46thMinutes32ndStarts50thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.14 this player0.03 defender median94th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Dec 2021
Peak
€2M
May 2026
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
10
2 club changes
May 2026€2MViborg FFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, Viborg FF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-12-15€25kUnknown
2022-07-05€100kNS Mura
2022-12-15€300kNS Mura
2023-05-25€250kNS Mura
2023-12-21€600kViborg FF
2024-06-10€700kViborg FF
2024-12-09€700kViborg FF
2025-06-16€1.3MViborg FF
2025-12-15€1.8MViborg FF
2026-05-25€2MViborg FF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.050

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 70% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kuzmic appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).