FairValue

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Oskar

Sivertsen

LWNorway · Go Ahead Eagles

№ 715510Emerging €639k −0.35

Player dossierEredivisie

OskarSivertsen

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Go Ahead Eagles
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Norway
Age
22
Height
177 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sivertsen at €450k. Model A, which never saw Sivertsen during training, estimates €639k: the market value is 30% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.42. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.35A €639k▼ −1.17B €1.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
28
Minutes
734
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
5/28
Min / app
26
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sivertsen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €450k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €450kModel A €639k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Oskar Sivertsen's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 3rd, Assists per 90 41st, Minutes, two years 10th, Starts 3rd, Minutes, last 365 days 18th, European club minutes 92nd3rdGoals41stAssists10thMinutes3rdStarts18thRecent92ndEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

27% this player0% attacker median92nd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2020
Peak
€1.5M
Dec 2024
Model target
€450k
May 2026
Valuations
14
1 club change
May 2026€450kGo Ahead EaglesValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €450k, Go Ahead Eagles. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-07-25€50kKristiansund BK
2020-12-31€100kKristiansund BK
2022-01-03€100kKristiansund BK
2022-12-09€150kKristiansund BK
2023-06-29€250kKristiansund BK
2023-12-13€450kKristiansund BK
2024-06-12€1MKristiansund BK
2024-09-17€1.2MKristiansund BK
2024-12-12€1.5MKristiansund BK
2025-05-28€1.3MGo Ahead Eagles
2025-10-02€850kGo Ahead Eagles
2025-12-02€700kGo Ahead Eagles
2026-03-11€500kGo Ahead Eagles
2026-05-28€450kGo Ahead Eagles

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.351

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 22% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€450kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 14% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€450kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sivertsen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).