BedirhanÖzyurt

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club: Eyüpspor
League: Süper Lig
Nationality: Türkiye
Age: 23
Height: 195 cm
Foot: Right
Valued: 21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Özyurt at €200k. Model A, which never saw Özyurt during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 83% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×5.73. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 12
Minutes: 908
Goals: 0
Assists: 1
Started: 11/12
Min / app: 76
Cards: 0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Özyurt…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.10 this player0.04 defender median77th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €75k; Jan 2023
Peak: €200k; Jun 2025
Model target: €200k; May 2026
Valuations: 8; 4 club changes

May 2026€200kEyüpsporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €200k, Eyüpspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2023-01-05	€75k	Pazarspor
2023-06-26	€50k	Pazarspor
2023-12-29	€25k	68 Aksaray Belediye Spor
2024-06-03	€100k	Kirklarelispor
2025-01-03	€175k	Kirklarelispor
2025-06-20	€200k	Kirklarelispor
2025-12-17	€150k	Alanyaspor
2026-05-21	€200k	Eyüpspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: −1.746

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 6% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

See them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 5% of the 2,065 defenders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Özyurt appears

TerminalSüper Lig in the Player Explorer
TerminalSüper Lig on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).