Ethan
Ingram
RBEngland · Partick Thistle FC
Player dossierPremiership
EthanIngram
RBRight-BackDefender
- Club
- Partick Thistle FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- England
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 179 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
PremiershipReading the valuation
The market values Ingram at €250k. Model A, which never saw Ingram during training, estimates €326k: the market value is 23% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.30. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €512k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 28
- Minutes
- 1,431
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 14/28
- Min / app
- 51
- Cards
- 7Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ingram…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% defender median30th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Nov 2021
- Peak
- €350k
- Dec 2024
- Model target
- €250k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 7
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €250k, Partick Thistle FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-24 | €150k | West Bromwich Albion U23 |
| 2023-12-29 | €275k | Salford City |
| 2024-10-02 | €300k | Dundee FC |
| 2024-12-03 | €350k | Dundee FC |
| 2025-06-17 | €350k | Dundee FC |
| 2025-12-10 | €300k | Dundee FC |
| 2026-05-21 | €250k | Partick Thistle FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.265
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 32% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 7% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ingram appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- FraserRBSt. Mirren FC · Premiership€250k
- SibbaldDMDundee United FC · Premiership€250k
- NilsenDMAberdeen FC · Premiership€250k
- GordonCBMotherwell FC · Premiership€250k
- AanholtLBSparta Rotterdam · defenders€250k
- PintoRBFortuna Sittard · defenders€250k
- RakitskyiCBChornomorets Odesa · defenders€250k
- MladenCBPanetolikos · defenders€250k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).