FairValue

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Hisham

Layous

LWIsrael · Levadiakos

№ 694512Emerging €782k −0.11

Player dossierSuper League

HishamLayous

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Levadiakos
League
Super League
Nationality
Israel
Age
25
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Layous at €700k. Model A, which never saw Layous during training, estimates €782k: the market value is 10% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.12. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €724k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.11A €782k▼ −0.03B €724k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
20
Minutes
1,014
Goals
5
Assists
2
Started
12/20
Min / app
51
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Layous…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €782k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Hisham Layous's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 82nd, Assists per 90 62nd, Minutes, two years 19th, Starts 52nd, Minutes, last 365 days 38th, European club minutes 28th82ndGoals62ndAssists19thMinutes52ndStarts38thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.44 this player0.26 attacker median82nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jan 2020
Peak
€1.4M
Dec 2023
Model target
€700k
Jun 2026
Valuations
17
5 club changes
Jun 2026€700kLevadiakosValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €700k, Levadiakos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-01-08€100kKarpaty Lviv
2021-01-14€100kRukh Lviv
2021-05-29€125kSC Kfar Qasem
2021-12-31€150kSC Kfar Qasem
2022-06-04€175kSC Kfar Qasem
2022-09-24€250kHapoel Tel Aviv
2022-12-20€450kHapoel Tel Aviv
2023-05-29€700kHapoel Tel Aviv
2023-12-22€1.4MHapoel Tel Aviv
2024-04-05€1.2MHapoel Tel Aviv
2024-06-17€900kHapoel Tel Aviv
2024-12-30€800kMaccabi Tel Aviv
2025-03-20€600kMaccabi Tel Aviv
2025-06-13€550kMaccabi Tel Aviv
2025-09-23€600kLevadiakos
2025-12-12€600kLevadiakos
2026-06-04€700kLevadiakos

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.110

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 55% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 22% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Layous appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).