FairValue

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Portrait of Séamus Coleman

Séamus

Coleman

RBIreland · Everton FC

№ 68390Emerging €312k −0.45

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

SéamusColeman

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Everton FC
League
Premier League
Nationality
Ireland
Age
37
Height
177 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Coleman at €200k. Model A, which never saw Coleman during training, estimates €312k: the market value is 36% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.56. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €158k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.45A €312k▲ +0.24B €158k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
13
Minutes
470
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
7/13
Min / app
36
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Coleman…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €200kModel A €312k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Séamus Coleman's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 0th, Starts 10th, Minutes, last 365 days 5th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists0thMinutes10thStarts5thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% defender median30th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€110k
Oct 2008
Peak
€19M
Jul 2015
Model target
€200k
Jun 2026
Valuations
40
1 club change
Jun 2026€200kEverton FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €200k, Everton FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2008-10-13€110kSligo Rovers
2008-11-27€125kSligo Rovers
2009-02-23€150kEverton FC
2010-01-24€1MEverton FC
2010-08-13€1MEverton FC
2011-02-01€6.5MEverton FC
2011-08-08€7MEverton FC
2012-02-06€7.5MEverton FC
2012-06-24€5MEverton FC
2013-01-28€4MEverton FC
2013-07-02€6MEverton FC
2014-01-15€10MEverton FC
2014-08-12€13MEverton FC
2015-02-12€18MEverton FC
2015-07-01€19MEverton FC
2016-02-09€19MEverton FC
2016-06-01€17MEverton FC
2016-08-01€17MEverton FC
2017-02-20€17MEverton FC
2017-06-28€17MEverton FC
2018-01-02€15MEverton FC
2018-05-28€12MEverton FC
2018-12-19€15MEverton FC
2019-06-13€15MEverton FC
2019-12-10€12MEverton FC
2020-04-08€9.5MEverton FC
2020-10-13€9.5MEverton FC
2021-03-18€7MEverton FC
2021-06-08€5MEverton FC
2021-12-23€3.5MEverton FC
2022-06-15€3MEverton FC
2022-09-15€1.8MEverton FC
2022-11-03€1.2MEverton FC
2023-06-20€1MEverton FC
2023-12-19€900kEverton FC
2024-05-27€500kEverton FC
2024-12-16€500kEverton FC
2025-05-30€500kEverton FC
2025-12-09€300kEverton FC
2026-06-03€200kEverton FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.445

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 0% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 5% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Coleman appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).