Ulisses
CBBrazil · CD Nacional
Player dossierLiga Portugal
Ulisses
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- CD Nacional
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 186 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Liga PortugalReading the valuation
The market values Ulisses at €1M. Model A, which never saw Ulisses during training, estimates €711k: the market value is 41% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.41. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 35
- Minutes
- 2,876
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 33/35
- Min / app
- 82
- Cards
- 7Y 1R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ulisses…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
94% this player83% defender median82nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Aug 2019
- Peak
- €1.5M
- May 2025
- Model target
- €1M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 15
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €1M, CD Nacional. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-08-15 | €50k | CR Vasco da Gama U20 |
| 2019-11-27 | €50k | CR Vasco da Gama U20 |
| 2020-02-20 | €250k | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2020-09-09 | €200k | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2021-02-09 | €100k | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2021-08-12 | €100k | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2022-08-05 | €100k | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2023-07-18 | €100k | Vila Nova Futebol Clube (GO) |
| 2023-12-14 | €225k | CD Nacional |
| 2024-06-20 | €600k | CD Nacional |
| 2024-12-19 | €800k | CD Nacional |
| 2025-03-31 | €1M | CD Nacional |
| 2025-05-30 | €1.5M | CD Nacional |
| 2025-12-18 | €1M | CD Nacional |
| 2026-05-28 | €1M | CD Nacional |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.341
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 42% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 35% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ulisses appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- OtamendiCBSL Benfica · Liga Portugal€1M
- SoaresLBFC Famalicão · Liga Portugal€1M
- ZlobinGKFC Famalicão · Liga Portugal€1M
- FerroCBGD Estoril Praia · Liga Portugal€1M
- AzpilicuetaCBSevilla FC · defenders€1M
- KaravaevRBDynamo Kyiv · defenders€1M
- BerchicheLBAthletic Bilbao · defenders€1M
- MandiCBLOSC Lille · defenders€1M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).