Facundo
Pellistri
Player dossierSuper League
FacundoPellistri
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Panathinaikos
- League
- Super League
- Nationality
- Uruguay
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 174 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Pellistri at €5M. Model A, which never saw Pellistri during training, estimates €2.5M: the market value is 102% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 42
- Minutes
- 2,269
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 6
- Started
- 23/42
- Min / app
- 54
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pellistri…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
38% this player0% attacker median98th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €2M
- Jan 2020
- Peak
- €10M
- Dec 2023
- Model target
- €5M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 18
- 6 club changes
Jun 2026: €5M, Panathinaikos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-01-06 | €2M | CA Peñarol |
| 2020-04-08 | €1.8M | CA Peñarol |
| 2020-10-13 | €7M | Manchester United |
| 2021-06-10 | €6M | Deportivo Alavés |
| 2021-12-30 | €4M | Deportivo Alavés |
| 2022-03-21 | €2.5M | Deportivo Alavés |
| 2022-06-03 | €2.5M | Deportivo Alavés |
| 2022-11-03 | €3M | Manchester United |
| 2023-06-20 | €6M | Manchester United |
| 2023-10-09 | €8M | Manchester United |
| 2023-12-19 | €10M | Manchester United |
| 2024-06-07 | €8M | Granada CF |
| 2024-07-19 | €10M | Manchester United |
| 2024-12-18 | €10M | Panathinaikos |
| 2025-05-23 | €8M | Panathinaikos |
| 2025-12-12 | €7M | Panathinaikos |
| 2026-03-06 | €6M | Panathinaikos |
| 2026-06-04 | €5M | Panathinaikos |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.704
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Super League356 players · median €600k
Valued above 93% of the 356 Super League players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 64% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Pellistri appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- DespodovRWPAOK Thessaloniki · Super League€5M
- ChirivellaDMPanathinaikos · Super League€5M
- ChiquinhoAMOlympiacos Piraeus · Super League€5M
- KoitaLWAEK Athens · Super League€5M
- WoodCFNottingham Forest · attackers€5M
- PolitanoRWSSC Napoli · attackers€5M
- SaïdSSRC Lens · attackers€5M
- ThauvinRWRC Lens · attackers€5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).

