FairValue

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Abdoulaye

Ndiaye

CBSenegal · Parma Calcio 1913

№ 673514Established €6.2M −0.03

Player dossierSerie A

AbdoulayeNdiaye

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Parma Calcio 1913
League
Serie A
Nationality
Senegal
Age
24
Height
195 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ndiaye at €6M. Model A, which never saw Ndiaye during training, estimates €6.2M: the market value is 3% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.03. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.03A €6.2M▼ −0.01B €6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
36
Minutes
2,757
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
31/36
Min / app
77
Cards
8Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ndiaye…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €6MModel A €6.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Abdoulaye Ndiaye's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 51st, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 48th, Starts 58th, Minutes, last 365 days 25th, European club minutes 68th51stGoals17thAssists48thMinutes58thStarts25thRecent68thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

7% this player0% defender median68th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
May 2019
Peak
€7M
Oct 2025
Model target
€6M
May 2026
Valuations
12
4 club changes
May 2026€6MParma Calcio 1913Valuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €6M, Parma Calcio 1913. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-05-23€50kAS Dakar Sacré Cœur
2022-10-28€1MSC Bastia
2023-06-16€1.5MSC Bastia
2023-10-27€3MESTAC Troyes
2023-12-13€3MESTAC Troyes
2024-06-11€2.5MESTAC Troyes
2024-10-07€3MStade Brestois 29
2024-12-10€3MStade Brestois 29
2025-06-03€4MStade Brestois 29
2025-10-07€7MParma Calcio 1913
2025-12-23€6.5MParma Calcio 1913
2026-05-29€6MParma Calcio 1913

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.026

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 50% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 73% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ndiaye appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).