Silvester van der
Water
RWNetherlands · Panionios FC
Player dossierSuper League
Silvester van derWater
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Panionios FC
- League
- Super League
- Nationality
- Netherlands
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 184 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 29 Dec 2025
Super LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Water at €375k. Model A, which never saw Water during training, estimates €461k: the market value is 19% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.23. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €957k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 32
- Minutes
- 1,401
- Goals
- 5
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 18/32
- Min / app
- 44
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Water…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €375k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Goals per 90
Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.
0.32 this player0.26 attacker median61st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Jul 2015
- Peak
- €1M
- Dec 2019
- Model target
- €375k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 25
- 6 club changes
Dec 2025: €375k, Panionios FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-07-01 | €25k | Almere City FC |
| 2016-02-05 | €25k | Almere City FC |
| 2016-07-01 | €50k | Almere City FC |
| 2017-02-02 | €100k | Almere City FC |
| 2017-06-21 | €125k | Almere City FC |
| 2018-03-01 | €200k | Almere City FC |
| 2018-06-29 | €350k | Almere City FC |
| 2018-12-28 | €350k | Heracles Almelo |
| 2019-06-12 | €350k | Heracles Almelo |
| 2019-09-19 | €700k | Heracles Almelo |
| 2019-12-18 | €1M | Heracles Almelo |
| 2020-04-08 | €800k | Heracles Almelo |
| 2020-10-14 | €800k | Heracles Almelo |
| 2021-01-06 | €900k | Heracles Almelo |
| 2021-04-16 | €1M | Orlando City SC |
| 2021-07-09 | €1M | Orlando City SC |
| 2021-11-09 | €1M | Orlando City SC |
| 2022-11-11 | €1M | SC Cambuur Leeuwarden |
| 2023-03-17 | €800k | SC Cambuur Leeuwarden |
| 2023-06-23 | €700k | SC Cambuur Leeuwarden |
| 2024-01-08 | €500k | SC Cambuur Leeuwarden |
| 2024-05-31 | €450k | PEC Zwolle |
| 2024-12-17 | €450k | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2025-05-28 | €375k | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2025-12-29 | €375k | Panionios FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.206
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Super League356 players · median €600k
Valued above 29% of the 356 Super League players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 11% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Water appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- LovrenCBPAOK Thessaloniki · Super League€400k
- ChoutesiotisGKAtromitos Athens · Super League€400k
- HermannssonCBVolos NFC · Super League€400k
- GarcíaCBPanetolikos · Super League€400k
- LokesaLWRKC Waalwijk · attackers€375k
- SansoneLWUS Lecce · attackers€400k
- LapadulaCFSpezia Calcio · attackers€400k
- RosaLWPanetolikos · attackers€400k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).