FairValue

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Portrait of Dorgeles Nene

Dorgeles

Nene

RWMali · Fenerbahce

№ 671591Elite €23.2M −0.15

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSüper Lig

DorgelesNene

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Fenerbahce
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Mali
Age
23
Height
174 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Nene at €20M. Model A, which never saw Nene during training, estimates €23.2M: the market value is 14% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.16. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €19.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.15A €23.2M▲ +0.03B €19.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
39
Minutes
2,374
Goals
11
Assists
9
Started
27/39
Min / app
61
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Nene…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €20M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €20MModel A €23.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Dorgeles Nene's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 79th, Assists per 90 95th, Minutes, two years 53rd, Starts 67th, Minutes, last 365 days 83rd, European club minutes 97th79thGoals95thAssists53rdMinutes67thStarts83rdRecent97thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

38% this player0% attacker median97th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Jan 2021
Peak
€20M
May 2026
Model target
€20M
May 2026
Valuations
14
4 club changes
May 2026€20MFenerbahceValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €20M, Fenerbahce. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-01-05€250kFC Liefering
2021-05-26€500kFC Liefering
2021-12-01€1MFC Liefering
2022-05-27€1.5MSV Ried
2022-11-04€1.6MKVC Westerlo
2023-06-09€3.5MKVC Westerlo
2023-12-11€4MRed Bull Salzburg
2024-05-21€4MRed Bull Salzburg
2024-10-10€8MRed Bull Salzburg
2024-12-17€8MRed Bull Salzburg
2025-06-06€12MRed Bull Salzburg
2025-10-01€17MFenerbahce
2025-12-17€18MFenerbahce
2026-05-21€20MFenerbahce

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.149

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Joint 9th highest observed value among 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 87% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Nene appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).