FairValue

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Portrait of Leroy Sané

Leroy

Sané

RWGermany · Galatasaray

№ 192565Elite €12.8M +0.44

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSüper Lig

LeroySané

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Galatasaray
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Germany
Age
30
Height
183 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sané at €20M. Model A, which never saw Sané during training, estimates €12.8M: the market value is 56% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.56. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €13M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.44A €12.8M▲ +0.43B €13M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
86
Minutes
5,532
Goals
20
Assists
13
Started
60/86
Min / app
64
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sané…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €20M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €20MModel A €12.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Leroy Sané's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 62nd, Assists per 90 73rd, Minutes, two years 95th, Starts 68th, Minutes, last 365 days 96th, European club minutes 92nd62ndGoals73rdAssists95thMinutes68thStarts96thRecent92ndEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,156 this player1,301 attacker median96th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Apr 2014
Peak
€100M
Dec 2018
Model target
€20M
May 2026
Valuations
38
4 club changes
May 2026€20MGalatasarayValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €20M, Galatasaray. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-04-22€300kFC Schalke 04 U19
2014-07-10€500kFC Schalke 04 U19
2015-02-04€1MFC Schalke 04 U19
2015-03-29€1.5MFC Schalke 04 U19
2015-07-01€4MFC Schalke 04
2015-10-16€8MFC Schalke 04
2016-02-15€18MFC Schalke 04
2016-06-01€18MFC Schalke 04
2016-07-22€30MFC Schalke 04
2017-02-20€30MManchester City
2017-06-28€35MManchester City
2017-10-23€45MManchester City
2018-01-02€75MManchester City
2018-05-28€90MManchester City
2018-12-19€100MManchester City
2019-06-13€100MManchester City
2019-12-10€100MManchester City
2020-04-08€80MManchester City
2020-09-16€70MBayern Munich
2021-02-10€60MBayern Munich
2021-03-31€70MBayern Munich
2021-06-01€60MBayern Munich
2021-12-22€70MBayern Munich
2022-06-09€60MBayern Munich
2022-11-09€70MBayern Munich
2023-06-22€65MBayern Munich
2023-10-18€75MBayern Munich
2023-12-14€80MBayern Munich
2024-03-27€70MBayern Munich
2024-05-29€70MBayern Munich
2024-10-09€60MBayern Munich
2024-12-20€45MBayern Munich
2025-03-27€38MBayern Munich
2025-06-05€32MBayern Munich
2025-10-01€25MGalatasaray
2025-12-17€23MGalatasaray
2026-03-05€22MGalatasaray
2026-05-21€20MGalatasaray

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.443

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Joint 9th highest observed value among 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 87% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sané appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).