FairValue

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Aske

Adelgaard

LBDenmark · Go Ahead Eagles

№ 656132Emerging €1.4M −0.33

Player dossierEredivisie

AskeAdelgaard

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Go Ahead Eagles
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Denmark
Age
22
Height
175 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Adelgaard at €1M. Model A, which never saw Adelgaard during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 28% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.39. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.33A €1.4M▼ −1.80B €6.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
64
Minutes
3,369
Goals
1
Assists
2
Started
36/64
Min / app
53
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Adelgaard…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €1.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Aske Adelgaard's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 46th, Assists per 90 59th, Minutes, two years 60th, Starts 12th, Minutes, last 365 days 61st, European club minutes 67th46thGoals59thAssists60thMinutes12thStarts61stRecent67thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

5% this player0% defender median67th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Sept 2022
Peak
€1M
Oct 2024
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
10
1 club change
May 2026€1MGo Ahead EaglesValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, Go Ahead Eagles. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-09-13€300kOdense Boldklub
2022-12-22€300kOdense Boldklub
2023-06-26€500kOdense Boldklub
2023-12-21€700kOdense Boldklub
2024-06-10€700kOdense Boldklub
2024-10-14€1MGo Ahead Eagles
2024-12-17€850kGo Ahead Eagles
2025-05-28€850kGo Ahead Eagles
2025-12-02€700kGo Ahead Eagles
2026-05-28€1MGo Ahead Eagles

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.331

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 46% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 35% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Adelgaard appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).