FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Portrait of Jarell Quansah

Jarell

Quansah

CBEngland · Bayer 04 Leverkusen

№ 632349World Class €28.2M +0.47

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierBundesliga

JarellQuansah

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
England
Age
23
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Quansah at €45M. Model A, which never saw Quansah during training, estimates €28.2M: the market value is 59% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.59. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €15.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.47A €28.2M▲ +1.05B €15.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
63
Minutes
4,603
Goals
5
Assists
0
Started
48/63
Min / app
73
Cards
11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Quansah…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €45M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €45MModel A €28.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Jarell Quansah's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 86th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 78th, Starts 37th, Minutes, last 365 days 98th, European club minutes 92nd86thGoals17thAssists78thMinutes37thStarts98thRecent92ndEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,706 this player1,687 defender median98th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€400k
Apr 2023
Peak
€45M
Mar 2026
Model target
€45M
May 2026
Valuations
11
2 club changes
May 2026€45MBayer 04 LeverkusenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €45M, Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2023-04-05€400kBristol Rovers
2023-10-09€2MLiverpool FC
2023-12-19€6MLiverpool FC
2024-03-14€12MLiverpool FC
2024-05-27€22MLiverpool FC
2024-12-16€22MLiverpool FC
2025-05-30€20MLiverpool FC
2025-10-14€35MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2025-12-19€40MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2026-03-20€45MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2026-05-27€45MBayer 04 Leverkusen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.466

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 96% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€45MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 98% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€45MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Quansah appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).