FairValue

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Portrait of Cristian Romero

Cristian

Romero

CBArgentina · Tottenham Hotspur

№ 355915World Class €22.7M +0.68

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

CristianRomero

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Tottenham Hotspur
League
Premier League
Nationality
Argentina
Age
28
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Romero at €45M. Model A, which never saw Romero during training, estimates €22.7M: the market value is 98% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.98. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.68A €22.7M▲ +1.77B €7.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
57
Minutes
4,707
Goals
7
Assists
6
Started
56/57
Min / app
83
Cards
16Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Romero…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €45M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €45MModel A €22.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Cristian Romero's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 93rd, Assists per 90 81st, Minutes, two years 79th, Starts 92nd, Minutes, last 365 days 80th, European club minutes 95th93rdGoals81stAssists79thMinutes92ndStarts80thRecent95thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

30% this player0% defender median95th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Feb 2016
Peak
€65M
Dec 2023
Model target
€45M
Jun 2026
Valuations
32
4 club changes
Jun 2026€45MTottenham HotspurValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €45M, Tottenham Hotspur. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-02-06€150kCA Belgrano II
2017-02-13€2MClub Atlético Belgrano
2017-10-09€1MClub Atlético Belgrano
2018-05-08€750kClub Atlético Belgrano
2018-12-20€4MGenoa CFC
2019-03-01€15MGenoa CFC
2019-06-06€15MGenoa CFC
2019-12-12€15MGenoa CFC
2020-04-08€13.5MGenoa CFC
2020-08-25€14MGenoa CFC
2020-12-29€15MAtalanta BC
2021-03-23€25MAtalanta BC
2021-06-03€30MAtalanta BC
2021-07-16€35MAtalanta BC
2021-12-23€35MTottenham Hotspur
2022-03-29€40MTottenham Hotspur
2022-06-15€48MTottenham Hotspur
2022-09-15€55MTottenham Hotspur
2022-11-03€55MTottenham Hotspur
2022-12-23€60MTottenham Hotspur
2023-06-20€60MTottenham Hotspur
2023-12-19€65MTottenham Hotspur
2024-03-14€60MTottenham Hotspur
2024-05-27€60MTottenham Hotspur
2024-07-19€65MTottenham Hotspur
2024-12-16€65MTottenham Hotspur
2025-03-18€55MTottenham Hotspur
2025-05-30€50MTottenham Hotspur
2025-10-17€55MTottenham Hotspur
2025-12-09€60MTottenham Hotspur
2026-03-09€50MTottenham Hotspur
2026-06-03€45MTottenham Hotspur

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.682

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 86% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€45MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 98% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€45MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Romero appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).