FairValue

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Jon Ander

Olasagasti

CMSpain · Levante UD

№ 625660Established €6.6M −0.98

Player dossierLaLiga

Jon AnderOlasagasti

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Levante UD
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
25
Height
176 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Olasagasti at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Olasagasti during training, estimates €6.6M: the market value is 62% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.66. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.98A €6.6M▼ −1.01B €6.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
70
Minutes
3,308
Goals
3
Assists
7
Started
34/70
Min / app
47
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Olasagasti…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €6.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Jon Ander Olasagasti's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 49th, Assists per 90 82nd, Minutes, two years 63rd, Starts 20th, Minutes, last 365 days 61st, European club minutes 68th49thGoals82ndAssists63rdMinutes20thStarts61stRecent68thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.19 this player0.09 midfielder median82nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2019
Peak
€4M
Jun 2025
Model target
€2.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
21
2 club changes
Jun 2026€2.5MLevante UDValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2.5M, Levante UD. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-09-10€50kReal Sociedad B
2020-02-11€50kReal Sociedad B
2020-10-08€50kReal Sociedad B
2021-01-07€150kReal Sociedad B
2021-06-30€150kReal Sociedad B
2021-10-13€500kReal Sociedad B
2021-12-27€800kReal Sociedad B
2022-03-21€1MReal Sociedad B
2022-06-29€1MReal Sociedad B
2022-12-29€1MReal Sociedad B
2023-06-30€1MReal Sociedad B
2023-10-13€1.5MReal Sociedad
2023-12-22€1.5MReal Sociedad
2024-03-21€2MReal Sociedad
2024-06-07€1.2MReal Sociedad
2024-12-27€1.2MReal Sociedad
2025-03-21€2.5MReal Sociedad
2025-06-09€4MReal Sociedad
2025-10-02€2MLevante UD
2025-12-12€1.8MLevante UD
2026-06-05€2.5MLevante UD

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.977

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 34% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Olasagasti appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).