Adrian
Barisic
CBBosnia-Herzegovina · SC Braga
Player dossierLiga Portugal
AdrianBarisic
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- SC Braga
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Bosnia-Herzegovina
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 192 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Liga PortugalReading the valuation
The market values Barisic at €4M. Model A, which never saw Barisic during training, estimates €1.9M: the market value is 116% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.16. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 12
- Minutes
- 903
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 11/12
- Min / app
- 75
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Barisic…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
50% this player0% defender median99th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Jun 2021
- Peak
- €5M
- Mar 2025
- Model target
- €4M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 14
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €4M, SC Braga. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-10 | €200k | NK Osijek II |
| 2021-12-30 | €300k | NK Osijek |
| 2022-06-06 | €900k | Frosinone Calcio |
| 2022-11-08 | €1.5M | NK Osijek |
| 2023-06-06 | €2M | NK Osijek |
| 2023-10-19 | €2M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2023-12-21 | €2M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2024-05-31 | €2.2M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2024-09-27 | €2.7M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2024-12-23 | €4M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2025-03-20 | €5M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2025-06-10 | €5M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2025-12-29 | €4M | FC Basel 1893 |
| 2026-05-28 | €4M | SC Braga |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.768
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 72% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 65% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Barisic appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SilvaSSSL Benfica · Liga Portugal€4M
- NavarroCFSC Braga · Liga Portugal€4M
- BatistaGKCD Santa Clara · Liga Portugal€4M
- KochorashviliCMSporting CP · Liga Portugal€4M
- KolasinacCBAtalanta BC · defenders€4M
- TagliaficoLBOlympique Lyon · defenders€4M
- BurnCBNewcastle United · defenders€4M
- SchärCBNewcastle United · defenders€4M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).