Metehan
Baltacı
CBTürkiye · Galatasaray
Player dossierSüper Lig
MetehanBaltacı
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Galatasaray
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Türkiye
- Age
- 22
- Height
- 189 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Oct 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Baltacı at €2.2M. Model A, which never saw Baltacı during training, estimates €2.8M: the market value is 23% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.29. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 16
- Minutes
- 484
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 5/16
- Min / app
- 30
- Cards
- 1Y 1R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Baltacı…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
41% this player0% defender median98th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jul 2022
- Peak
- €2.8M
- Dec 2024
- Model target
- €2.2M
- Oct 2025
- Valuations
- 13
- 3 club changes
Oct 2025: €2.2M, Galatasaray. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-24 | €50k | Galatasaray |
| 2022-10-27 | €75k | Galatasaray |
| 2023-04-03 | €100k | Manisa FK |
| 2023-06-23 | €175k | Manisa FK |
| 2023-10-20 | €400k | Eyüpspor |
| 2023-12-29 | €750k | Eyüpspor |
| 2024-03-26 | €900k | Eyüpspor |
| 2024-06-13 | €1M | Eyüpspor |
| 2024-10-04 | €1.6M | Galatasaray |
| 2024-12-23 | €2.8M | Galatasaray |
| 2025-03-20 | €2.7M | Galatasaray |
| 2025-06-18 | €2.5M | Galatasaray |
| 2025-10-01 | €2.2M | Galatasaray |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.256
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 68% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 54% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Baltacı appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- OlawoyinCMCaykur Rizespor · Süper Lig€2.2M
- GündoğanCMGalatasaray · Süper Lig€2M
- KocukGKSamsunspor · Süper Lig€2M
- NtchamCMSamsunspor · Süper Lig€2M
- OttoRBDeportivo Alavés · defenders€2.2M
- MbabuRBFC Midtjylland · defenders€2.2M
- SchmidtLBSV Werder Bremen · defenders€2.2M
- MagnéeRBCercle Brugge · defenders€2.2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).