FairValue

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Christian

Gammelgaard

RWDenmark · Vejle Boldklub

№ 610430Emerging €1.2M −0.25

Player dossierSuperliga

ChristianGammelgaard

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Vejle Boldklub
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
23
Height
185 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Gammelgaard at €900k. Model A, which never saw Gammelgaard during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 22% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.29. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.25A €1.2M▼ −1.16B €2.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
48
Minutes
2,900
Goals
7
Assists
9
Started
35/48
Min / app
60
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gammelgaard…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €900kModel A €1.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Christian Gammelgaard's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 41st, Assists per 90 88th, Minutes, two years 65th, Starts 73rd, Minutes, last 365 days 70th, European club minutes 28th41stGoals88thAssists65thMinutes73rdStarts70thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.28 this player0.15 attacker median88th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Dec 2021
Peak
€900k
Dec 2025
Model target
€900k
May 2026
Valuations
11
3 club changes
May 2026€900kVejle BoldklubValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €900k, Vejle Boldklub. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-12-28€100kVejle Boldklub U19
2022-06-20€100kVejle Boldklub
2022-09-13€150kVejle Boldklub
2022-12-22€150kVejle Boldklub
2023-06-26€150kVejle Boldklub
2023-12-21€150kVejle Boldklub
2024-06-18€200kFC Fredericia
2024-12-09€300kVejle Boldklub
2025-06-16€500kVejle Boldklub
2025-12-15€900kVejle Boldklub
2026-05-25€900kVejle Boldklub

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.252

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 54% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 28% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Gammelgaard appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).