FairValue

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Yusuf

Kabadayi

LWGermany · Gaziantep FK

№ 604359Emerging €479k +0.92

Player dossierSüper Lig

YusufKabadayi

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Gaziantep FK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Germany
Age
22
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kabadayi at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Kabadayi during training, estimates €479k: the market value is 150% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.50. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €806k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.92A €479k▲ +0.40B €806k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
23
Minutes
694
Goals
2
Assists
1
Started
5/23
Min / app
30
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kabadayi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €479k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Yusuf Kabadayi's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 49th, Assists per 90 43rd, Minutes, two years 9th, Starts 4th, Minutes, last 365 days 20th, European club minutes 28th49thGoals43rdAssists9thMinutes4thStarts20thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.26 this player0.26 attacker median49th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Sept 2021
Peak
€1.5M
Oct 2024
Model target
€1.2M
May 2026
Valuations
13
4 club changes
May 2026€1.2MGaziantep FKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.2M, Gaziantep FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-09-20€300kFC Bayern Munich U19
2021-12-15€300kFC Bayern Munich U19
2022-06-27€500kFC Bayern Munich II
2022-12-30€400kFC Bayern Munich II
2023-06-29€500kFC Bayern Munich II
2023-10-20€900kFC Schalke 04
2023-12-15€900kFC Schalke 04
2024-06-06€1MFC Schalke 04
2024-10-09€1.5MFC Augsburg
2024-12-20€1.5MFC Augsburg
2025-06-05€1.5MFC Augsburg
2025-12-17€1.5MGaziantep FK
2026-05-21€1.2MGaziantep FK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.918

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 45% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kabadayi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).