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Mohammad

Mohebi

LWIran · FC Rostov

№ 603149Established €1.6M +0.44

Player dossierPremier Liga

MohammadMohebi

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
FC Rostov
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Iran
Age
27
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Mohebi at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Mohebi during training, estimates €1.6M: the market value is 55% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.55. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.44A €1.6M▲ +0.41B €1.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
51
Minutes
2,959
Goals
9
Assists
6
Started
31/51
Min / app
58
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mohebi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €1.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Mohammad Mohebi's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 52nd, Assists per 90 64th, Minutes, two years 66th, Starts 53rd, Minutes, last 365 days 65th, European club minutes 28th52ndGoals64thAssists66thMinutes53rdStarts65thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

2,959 this player2,242 attacker median66th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Aug 2018
Peak
€3.5M
Jun 2024
Model target
€2.5M
May 2026
Valuations
16
4 club changes
May 2026€2.5MFC RostovValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.5M, FC Rostov. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-08-24€50kShahin Bushehr FC
2018-12-25€100kShahin Bushehr FC
2019-08-02€200kSepahan FC
2021-02-19€700kSepahan FC
2021-07-28€700kSepahan FC
2021-12-27€700kCD Santa Clara
2022-05-31€700kCD Santa Clara
2022-11-09€700kEsteghlal FC
2023-05-24€1.2MEsteghlal FC
2023-12-13€1.8MFC Rostov
2024-03-20€2.5MFC Rostov
2024-06-04€3.5MFC Rostov
2024-12-12€3.5MFC Rostov
2025-06-04€3MFC Rostov
2025-12-16€2.8MFC Rostov
2026-05-26€2.5MFC Rostov

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.441

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 70% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 48% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Mohebi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).