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Aleksandr

Rudenko

LWRussia · Lokomotiv Moscow

№ 318468Established €5.6M −0.80

Player dossierPremier Liga

AleksandrRudenko

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Lokomotiv Moscow
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
27
Height
173 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Rudenko at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Rudenko during training, estimates €5.6M: the market value is 55% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.23. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.80A €5.6M▼ −0.59B €4.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
73
Minutes
4,255
Goals
14
Assists
8
Started
47/73
Min / app
58
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rudenko…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €5.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Aleksandr Rudenko's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 57th, Assists per 90 59th, Minutes, two years 84th, Starts 59th, Minutes, last 365 days 88th, European club minutes 28th57thGoals59thAssists84thMinutes59thStarts88thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,573 this player1,301 attacker median88th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€175k
Aug 2015
Peak
€2.5M
Dec 2025
Model target
€2.5M
May 2026
Valuations
28
6 club changes
May 2026€2.5MLokomotiv MoscowValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.5M, Lokomotiv Moscow. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-08-25€175kAkademia Spartak Moscow U17
2016-12-02€275kSpartak 2 Moscow
2017-06-01€300kSpartak 2 Moscow
2017-12-05€400kSpartak 2 Moscow
2018-06-06€500kSpartak 2 Moscow
2018-10-15€600kSpartak 2 Moscow
2018-12-20€600kSpartak 2 Moscow
2019-06-14€650kSpartak 2 Moscow
2019-09-10€750kSpartak 2 Moscow
2019-12-23€900kSpartak 2 Moscow
2020-04-08€800kTorpedo Moskau
2020-06-29€900kTorpedo Moskau
2020-12-29€800kFC Sochi
2021-06-02€900kFC Sochi
2021-09-15€850kSpartak 2 Moscow
2021-12-07€750kSpartak 2 Moscow
2022-06-02€800kFC Khimki
2022-09-12€900kFC Khimki
2022-11-21€900kFC Khimki
2023-06-14€900kFC Khimki
2023-09-20€750kFC Khimki
2023-11-30€800kFC Khimki
2024-06-14€1MFC Khimki
2024-12-12€1MFC Khimki
2025-06-04€1MFC Khimki
2025-09-18€1.5MLokomotiv Moscow
2025-12-16€2.5MLokomotiv Moscow
2026-05-26€2.5MLokomotiv Moscow

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.803

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 70% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 48% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Rudenko appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).