FairValue

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Portrait of Luciano Valente

Luciano

Valente

CMNetherlands · Feyenoord Rotterdam

№ 601495Elite €17.2M +0.04

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierEredivisie

LucianoValente

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Feyenoord Rotterdam
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
22
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Valente at €18M. Model A, which never saw Valente during training, estimates €17.2M: the market value is 5% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.05. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €25.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.04A €17.2M▼ −0.35B €25.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
76
Minutes
5,925
Goals
5
Assists
17
Started
69/76
Min / app
78
Cards
14Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Valente…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €18M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €18MModel A €17.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Luciano Valente's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 47th, Assists per 90 93rd, Minutes, two years 94th, Starts 88th, Minutes, last 365 days 95th, European club minutes 73rd47thGoals93rdAssists94thMinutes88thStarts95thRecent73rdEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,284 this player1,541 midfielder median95th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Mar 2022
Peak
€18M
Dec 2025
Model target
€18M
May 2026
Valuations
14
2 club changes
May 2026€18MFeyenoord RotterdamValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €18M, Feyenoord Rotterdam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-03-17€25kFC Groningen U21
2022-06-08€75kFC Groningen U21
2022-09-14€200kFC Groningen
2022-11-11€400kFC Groningen
2023-06-23€500kFC Groningen
2024-01-08€700kFC Groningen
2024-06-10€850kFC Groningen
2024-10-14€1MFC Groningen
2024-12-17€1.5MFC Groningen
2025-03-28€2.5MFC Groningen
2025-05-28€7MFC Groningen
2025-10-02€10MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2025-12-02€18MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2026-05-28€18MFeyenoord Rotterdam

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.045

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 96% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€18MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 87% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€18MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Valente appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).